Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MATIC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-23 7.141548e-05 0.000085 0.000100 0.000118 0.000137 0.000158 0.000181
2025-03-02 5.147990e-05 0.000069 0.000089 0.000114 0.000143 0.000176 0.000216
2025-03-09 3.969463e-05 0.000058 0.000080 0.000109 0.000144 0.000185 0.000236
2025-03-16 3.225857e-05 0.000051 0.000076 0.000108 0.000150 0.000200 0.000263
2025-03-23 2.707006e-05 0.000046 0.000073 0.000109 0.000156 0.000213 0.000288
2025-03-30 2.239656e-05 0.000042 0.000069 0.000108 0.000160 0.000225 0.000310
2025-04-06 1.802887e-05 0.000037 0.000064 0.000104 0.000160 0.000231 0.000326
2025-04-13 1.503835e-05 0.000033 0.000061 0.000104 0.000163 0.000241 0.000347
2025-04-20 1.154426e-05 0.000028 0.000055 0.000098 0.000160 0.000243 0.000356
2025-04-27 9.672890e-06 0.000026 0.000053 0.000098 0.000164 0.000253 0.000376
2025-05-04 8.193249e-06 0.000024 0.000051 0.000098 0.000168 0.000263 0.000397
2025-05-11 7.351733e-06 0.000023 0.000052 0.000101 0.000176 0.000279 0.000426
2025-05-18 6.015866e-06 0.000021 0.000050 0.000102 0.000182 0.000294 0.000456
2025-05-25 4.260646e-06 0.000018 0.000046 0.000097 0.000180 0.000298 0.000470
2025-06-01 3.000665e-06 0.000015 0.000042 0.000093 0.000179 0.000303 0.000486
2025-06-08 2.252520e-06 0.000013 0.000040 0.000093 0.000182 0.000313 0.000510
2025-06-15 1.735701e-06 0.000012 0.000038 0.000093 0.000187 0.000326 0.000537
2025-06-22 1.251383e-06 0.000011 0.000037 0.000092 0.000189 0.000336 0.000560
2025-06-29 8.134455e-07 0.000009 0.000034 0.000089 0.000188 0.000341 0.000575
2025-07-06 5.558102e-07 0.000008 0.000032 0.000088 0.000191 0.000351 0.000598
2025-07-13 2.851054e-07 0.000006 0.000029 0.000084 0.000187 0.000350 0.000605
2025-07-20 1.774249e-07 0.000006 0.000028 0.000083 0.000190 0.000360 0.000629
2025-07-27 1.082195e-07 0.000005 0.000027 0.000083 0.000193 0.000372 0.000655